Analytics
Resolved No on 3 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 41%. Yes opened at 75.5% on 30 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 30 Jun 2026 to 3 Jul 2026, the highest close was 75.5% on 30 Jun 2026 and the lowest 44.5% on 2 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 49% on 1 Jul 2026. $3.7K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 4, 8:35 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 30 Jun 2026 – 3 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | 75.5% |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 59.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Faston | Yes | 300 |
| aenews2 | Yes | 283.18 |
| SusanWarrenHR | Yes | 208.13 |
| Blind Chicken | Yes | 161.87 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's marriage takes place by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resole to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/taylor-swift-x-travis-kelce-get-married-by
| bertross | Yes | 65 |
| g4z3ll3 | Yes | 6.88 |
| Petty-Sardine | Yes | 6.74 |
| Slothtrop | Yes | 5.67 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| Misty Comet F703 | Yes | 2.13 |
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