Analytics
Yes is at 1.3%, down 41 points from 42.5% when the market opened on 31 Jul 2026.
Across the 87 daily closes on record from 31 Jul 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 43% on 4 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.8% on 17 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 1.5%; a month before, 5.5%. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 21% on 8 Sep 2026.
It is one of 2 markets under “SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?”.
$118.59 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $15.31K since listing. The order book holds $12.58K, with a 1.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 83 trades, $172.69 bought Yes and $8.47K bought No; the largest was a $1.92K buy of No at 96.0¢.
The largest Yes position is Rebecca-95 with 3.2K shares; the largest No position is thoodr with 3.9K. Ten wallets hold 92.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 2 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 87 points, 31 Jul 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 42.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 1.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| thoodr | No | 3.9K |
| Rebecca-95 | Yes | 3.17K |
| bernardbulletin | Yes | 1.96K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Court of the United States grants certiorari in a case explicitly concerning the legality, regulation, or jurisdictional authority over sports event contracts by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A case qualifies if it addresses at least one of the following: (1) whether contracts based on sporting event outcomes constitute regulated derivatives under the Commodity Exchange Act; (2) whether federal regulation via the Commodity Futures Trading Commission preempts state-level gambling laws as applied to such contracts; or (3) whether sports event contracts offered by federally licensed markets may legally be offered, restricted, or prohibited by federal or state authorities. The certiorari grant must be publicly confirmed via the official SCOTUS docket or orders list, and verifiable through credible legal reporting or the Supreme Court’s official website. The case does not need to be heard, scheduled, or decided to qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus census of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/scotus-accepts-sports-event-contract-case-by-july-31-2026
| CircuitBoardA |
| No |
| 1.83K |
| SiliconBets | No | 1.16K |
| ScottyNooo | Yes | 500 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 475.76 |
| nigiri99 | Yes | 295 |
| FaucetWiki | Yes | 210 |
| Sgnil | No | 210 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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