Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 13% on 8 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 42 daily closes on record from 8 Aug 2026 to 18 Sep 2026, the highest close was 13% on 8 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 14 Sep 2026. $899.58K traded over the market's life.
53 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 19, 7:41 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 42 points, 8 Aug 2026 – 18 Sep 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Aug 2026 | 13.0% |
| 18 Sep 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ocean.express | Yes | 664.3K |
| bogdanc1 | Yes | 11.94K |
| neutralwave23 | Yes | 8.99K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution. The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes. If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/russia-elections-yabloko-clears-duma-threshold
| Yes |
| 2.16K |
| Flickering-Acoustics-Entirety | Yes | 2.05K |
| AMAM13 | Yes | 2K |
| www111www | Yes | 1.74K |
| raf-traf | Yes | 1.37K |
| ACara | Yes | 1.09K |
| dolbaebtrade | Yes | 880.53 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
