- What is the “Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027?” market asking?
- It asks whether the following will happen: Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Quantum breaks Bitcoin by ___?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
- What do the Yes and No prices mean?
- Right now Yes trades at 12.0¢ and No at 88.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 12.0% for Yes and 88.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
- When does this market close?
- Trading is scheduled to close on Jan 1, 2028 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
- How does this market resolve?
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified, a quantum computer has been publicly demonstrated to derive a valid private key corresponding to an existing Bitcoin address using a quantum algorithm, such that the derived key is sufficient to sign a valid transaction on the Bitcoin mainnet. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” To qualify, the demonstration must satisfy all of the following: The private key must be derived from a real Bitcoin address whose corresponding public key has been revealed on the Bitcoin blockchain (for example, via a prior…
- What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
- 24h volume ($22.74) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($402.21) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
