Analytics
Yes is at 47.5%, up 23 points from 24.5% when the market opened on 13 Oct 2026.
Across the 10 daily closes on record from 13 Oct 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 52.5% on 24 Oct 2026 and the lowest 24.5% on 13 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 36%. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 36% on 17 Oct 2026.
It is one of 3 markets under “Pete Hegseth impeached by...?”.
$218.97 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.04K since listing. The order book holds $22.53K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 48 trades, $362.52 bought Yes and $370.25 bought No.
The largest Yes position is AJSV with 266 shares; the largest No position is Anjun with 484.
Trading closes on 1 Apr 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 5:46 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 13 Oct 2026 – 24 Oct 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Oct 2026 | 24.5% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 52.5% |
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/pete-hegseth-impeached-by-june-30
| Secret-Bolero-Injury |
| Yes |
| 174.13 |
| crypto-basenji | No | 124 |
| Aromatic-Carter | Yes | 89 |
| LornaPredicts | No | 75.58 |
| Bermud | Yes | 63.83 |
| Malganis | No | 49.82 |
| POB-T | No | 35.08 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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