Analytics
Yes is at 64.5%, up 2 points from 62.5% when the market opened on 10 Jan 2026.
Across the 280 daily closes on record from 10 Jan 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (15 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 87.5% on 9 Apr 2026 and the lowest 35.5% on 13 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 64.5%; a month before, 49.5%. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 49.5% on 29 Apr 2026.
It is one of 4 markets under “How much will be wagered on US sports betting in 2026?”.
$21.11K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $64.44, with a 51.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 90 trades, $48.4 bought Yes and $4.77K bought No; the largest was a $2.27K buy of No at 83.0¢.
The largest Yes position is rocky42022 with 40 shares; the largest No position is FrankyFourFingers with 38.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 2:07 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 280 points, 10 Jan 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jan 2026 | 62.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 64.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| rocky42022 | Yes | 40 |
| FrankyFourFingers | No | 38.31 |
| munas | No | 28.96 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total amount wagered on U.S. sports betting in 2026 is greater than the number specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be Legal Sports Report (https://www.legalsportsreport.com/sports-betting-states/revenue/), using the “U.S. sports betting revenue by month” table. The annual data will be calculated by summing the values in the “Handle” column for all months in 2026 once the relevant information is available. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other reliable sources
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-much-will-be-wagered-on-us-sports-betting-in-2026
| JessicaMann2345 |
| Yes |
| 20 |
| Simon4s | Yes | 18.55 |
| 16r0ob | No | 13.8 |
| Flustered-Pier | Yes | 1.45 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 1.06 |
| hesure | No | 1.04 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 1.04 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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