Analytics
Yes is at 52.3%, down 34 points from 86% when the market opened on 10 Jan 2026.
Across the 262 daily closes on record from 10 Jan 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (33 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 97.8% on 25 Jan 2026 and the lowest 46.3% on 26 Jun 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 64.3%; a month before, 82.3%. Its largest one-day move was 48 points down, to 49.9% on 16 May 2026.
It is one of 4 markets under “How much will be wagered on US sports betting in 2026?”.
$16.3K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $10.91, with a 86.7% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 128 trades, $369.2 bought Yes and $900.92 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Simon4s with 90 shares; the largest No position is Candid-Sermon with 189. Ten wallets hold 95.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 3:15 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 262 points, 10 Jan 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jan 2026 | 86.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 52.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Candid-Sermon | No | 188.69 |
| Simon4s | Yes | 90 |
| horatio | Yes | 86.57 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total amount wagered on U.S. sports betting in 2026 is greater than the number specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be Legal Sports Report (https://www.legalsportsreport.com/sports-betting-states/revenue/), using the “U.S. sports betting revenue by month” table. The annual data will be calculated by summing the values in the “Handle” column for all months in 2026 once the relevant information is available. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other reliable sources
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-much-will-be-wagered-on-us-sports-betting-in-2026
| gpunfv1 |
| Yes |
| 18.58 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 17.49 |
| 46adasd | No | 10.7 |
| 50sad | No | 9.3 |
| Bulan | Yes | 5 |
| TradeCat | No | 5 |
| 16r0ob | No | 4.73 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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