Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 50% on 17 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 106 daily closes on record from 17 Dec 2024 to 1 Apr 2025, the highest close was 83.5% on 30 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 28 points up, to 77.5% on 18 Dec 2024. $550.99K traded over the market's life.
199 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 6:58 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 106 points, 17 Dec 2024 – 1 Apr 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Dec 2024 | 50.0% |
| 1 Apr 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenSea launches a token and performs an airdrop by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the OpenSea team, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/opensea-airdrop-before-april
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