Latest trade
Jun 6, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 3:50 PM UTC.
Analytics
NassimTaleb is down $6.56K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 2 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-06-09 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jun 6, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 3:50 PM UTC.
$503.13 median trade
Its latest 28 trades covered 6 markets; 78.6% were buys. They run from May 24, 2024 UTC to Jun 6, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 60K | $0.109 | $1.17K | -$5.39K |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?Yes | buy | 834.56 | $0.580 | $484.04 | Jun 6, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-06-09 10:16 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 15:50 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
28 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 15:50 UTC
polymarket positions
3 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-06-09 10:16 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $419.86 and losing ones cost $5.89K across 2 settled positions.
The largest win was $419.86 on “Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?” (Yes); the largest loss, $5.89K on “Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 6 Jun 2026. It has traded 6 markets. Its open positions are worth $1.17K across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 157.03 |
| $0.580 |
| $91.08 |
| Jun 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?Yes | buy | 0.27 | $0.580 | $0.16 | Jun 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?Yes | buy | 0.14 | $0.580 | $0.08 | Jun 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.580 | $4.64 | Jun 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 13.35K | $0.110 | $1.47K | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 46.65K | $0.109 | $5.09K | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will Kanye launch a coin in February?Yes | buy | 17.84K | $0.238 | $4.25K | Feb 25, 2025 UTC |
| Will Kanye launch a coin in February?Yes | buy | 44 | $0.190 | $8.36 | Feb 25, 2025 UTC |
| Will Kanye launch a coin in February?Yes | buy | 2.63K | $0.198 | $522.21 | Feb 25, 2025 UTC |
 OpenSea airdrop before April?Yes | buy | 506.61 | $0.180 | $91.19 | Feb 23, 2025 UTC |
| Will Kanye launch a coin in February?Yes | sell | 8K | $0.640 | $5.12K | Feb 23, 2025 UTC |
| Will Kanye launch a coin in February?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.594 | $2.97K | Feb 21, 2025 UTC |
| Will Kanye launch a coin in February?Yes | sell | 13.72K | $0.602 | $8.25K | Feb 21, 2025 UTC |
| Will Kanye launch a coin in February?Yes | buy | 19.55K | $0.238 | $4.65K | Feb 17, 2025 UTC |
| Will Kanye launch a coin in February?Yes | buy | 7.73K | $0.216 | $1.67K | Feb 17, 2025 UTC |
| Will Kanye launch a coin in February?Yes | buy | 2.7K | $0.203 | $550.15 | Feb 16, 2025 UTC |
| Will Kanye launch a coin in February?Yes | buy | 11.59K | $0.210 | $2.43K | Feb 16, 2025 UTC |
| Will Kanye launch a coin in February?Yes | buy | 13.29K | $0.238 | $3.16K | Feb 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 1.27K | $0.120 | $152.74 | Nov 6, 2024 UTC |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 833.33 | $0.120 | $100 | Nov 6, 2024 UTC |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 32.33K | $0.120 | $3.88K | Nov 6, 2024 UTC |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 34.36K | $0.291 | $10K | Nov 6, 2024 UTC |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 62.38 | $0.319 | $19.9 | Nov 6, 2024 UTC |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 11.13 | $0.311 | $3.46 | Nov 6, 2024 UTC |
 Will China invade Taiwan in May?Yes | buy | 782 | $0.025 | $19.55 | May 24, 2024 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan in May?Yes | buy | 1.22K | $0.024 | $29.33 | May 24, 2024 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan in May?Yes | buy | 2.11K | $0.022 | $46.44 | May 24, 2024 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.