Odds of US x Venezuela military engagement in 2025 on Monday over 30%?

Resolved

Yes, settled Dec 1, 2025 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$56.2K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Dec 1, 2025 UTC

Topic roomUS Economy Venezuela

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 1 Dec 2025.

$56.2K traded over the market's life.

25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Dec 3, 12:29 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 1 Dec 2025, chart shows 90%–100%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
1 Dec 2025	96.7%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
lacusta2025	No	5.99K
Cobalt Tide 312D	No	4.86K
donglai66	No	1.4K
Kktosmooth	No	1.01K

10 of 25 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the market ‘US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?’ (https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-venezuela-military-engagement-by) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during the 4-hour period between 10:00 AM and 1:59 PM ET on December 1, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://federivative.polymarket.com/index/us-x-venezuela or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the 4-hour window. This will display the 4-hour scoring window and the minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.

Resolution source: https://federivative.polymarket.com/index/odds-of-us-x-venezuela-military-engagement-in-2025-on-monday-over-30