Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 28% on 22 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 41 daily closes on record from 22 May 2026 to 1 Jul 2026, the highest close was 28% on 22 May 2026 and the lowest 0.7% on 30 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 10.5% on 23 May 2026. $12.82K traded over the market's life.
32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 6:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 41 points, 22 May 2026 – 1 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 May 2026 | 28.0% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| fortniteplayer | Yes | 619.65 |
| MoonKid | Yes | 400 |
| Enriquels | Yes | 210.85 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/no-confidence-vote-against-spain-pm-sanchez-by-june-30
| Lopez | Yes | 200 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| lionas | Yes | 73.52 |
| NavySailor | Yes | 60 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 50 |
| McProducer | Yes | 40 |
| Bullrun | Yes | 40 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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