Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | Yes | 15.79 | $0.190 | $5.13 | +$2.13 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Evo Morales leaves Bolivia by May 31?Yes | sell | 23.07 | $0.060 | $1.38 | May 28, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 18.18 |
| $0.110 |
| $3.15 |
| +$1.15 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 79.37 | $0.063 | $3.06 | -$1.94 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | Yes | 25 | $0.080 | $1.66 | -$0.34 |
 Will Mamadu Iaia Djaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | Yes | 73.22 | $0.055 | $1.1 | -$2.9 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? | Yes | 18.18 | $0.110 | $0.82 | -$1.18 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.050 | $0.5 | -$4.5 |
| sell |
| 66.66 |
| $0.017 |
| $1.15 |
| May 28, 2026 |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?Yes | sell | 50.58 | $0.017 | $0.86 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Yes | buy | 15.79 | $0.190 | $3 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 211.54 | $0.052 | $11 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?Yes | buy | 50.58 | $0.040 | $2 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.030 | $2 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?Yes | buy | 23.08 | $0.130 | $3 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.014 | $2 | May 22, 2026 |
 No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.100 | $4 | May 22, 2026 |
| Evo Morales leaves Bolivia by June 30?Yes | buy | 13.64 | $0.220 | $3 | May 22, 2026 |
| Evo Morales leaves Bolivia by May 31?Yes | buy | 23.08 | $0.130 | $3 | May 22, 2026 |
 Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?Yes | buy | 117.65 | $0.017 | $2 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-05-16?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-16?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-05-16?Yes | buy | 216.67 | $0.060 | $13 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?Yes | buy | 46.73 | $0.107 | $5 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?Yes | buy | 70.42 | $0.071 | $5 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 300k and 350k?Yes | buy | 68.49 | $0.073 | $5 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?Yes | buy | 161.29 | $0.031 | $5 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 39.07 | $0.999 | $39.03 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump announce the release of detained Americans?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.140 | $2 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?Yes | buy | 24.66 | $0.081 | $2 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 39.06 | $0.361 | $14.1 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.210 | $5 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.99 | $0.556 | $5 | May 15, 2026 |
 Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?No | buy | 10.14 | $0.296 | $3 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 32.23 | $0.031 | $1 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.050 | $2 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 78.12 | $0.298 | $23.28 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 79.37 | $0.063 | $5 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 157.89 | $0.019 | $3 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.003 | $3 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-14?Yes | sell | 23.8 | $0.340 | $8.09 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 166.66 | $0.015 | $2.46 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.032 | $4 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |