Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99%. Yes opened at 43.5% on 27 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 35 daily closes on record from 27 Jun 2026 to 1 Aug 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 43.5% on 27 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.6% on 28 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 29 points down, to 14.5% on 28 Jun 2026. $1.55K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 6:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 35 points, 27 Jun 2026 – 1 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jun 2026 | 43.5% |
| 1 Aug 2026 | 1.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| Victorious-Ambience-Viability | Yes | 74.59 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 15 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/no-confidence-vote-against-spain-pm-sanchez-by-june-30
| tweetmaster | Yes | 14 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 10 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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