Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 19.5% on 14 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 77 daily closes on record from 14 Jan 2026 to 1 Apr 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 19.5% on 14 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 31 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9.1 points down, to 3.9% on 25 Feb 2026. $199.4K traded over the market's life.
39 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 1, 11:14 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 77 points, 14 Jan 2026 – 1 Apr 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Jan 2026 | 19.5% |
| 1 Apr 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| cobble | Yes | 3K |
| Weird-Elevator | Yes | 1.57K |
| Amber Ledger 322C | Yes | 185.65 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nikita Bier ceases to be Head of Product of X for any length of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Nikita Bier's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from X and/or Nikita Bier, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nikita-bier-out-as-head-of-product-at-x-by-march-31
| Yes |
| 100 |
| Jbouch | Yes | 100 |
| miska11 | Yes | 83.33 |
| Whytecoin | Yes | 77.31 |
| mykimyke | Yes | 73.31 |
| Lawful-Argument | Yes | 71.43 |
| 88mnm88 | Yes | 66.66 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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