Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 31.25 | $0.320 | $2.34 | -$7.66 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 105.26 |
| $0.019 |
| $2.05 |
| +$0.05 |
 Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 32.26 | $0.031 | $1.23 | +$0.23 |
 Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 107.77 | $0.009 | $0.92 | -$0.08 |
 Obama divorce before 2027? | Yes | 16.67 | $0.060 | $0.57 | -$0.43 |
 Human moon landing in 2026? | Yes | 17.34 | $0.058 | $0.33 | -$0.67 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 16.67 | $0.060 | $0.01 | -$0.99 |
| buy |
| 52.63 |
| $0.019 |
| $1 |
| Mar 18, 2026 |
 MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 37.85 | $0.026 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Taliban blackmail of D.C. shooter confirmed by March 31?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Hoppers be the highest grossing movie this weekend?No | buy | 831.76 | $0.001 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Forsen be the NLC 2026 Winter Split MVP?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.023 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Forsen to get signed by an LCK prog org by Jun 30?Yes | buy | 79.43 | $0.013 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Bill Clinton charged by March 31?Yes | buy | 68.5 | $0.015 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 McDonald's CEO out by June 30?Yes | buy | 15.35 | $0.065 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will TikTok be banned by March 31?Yes | buy | 54.6 | $0.018 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?Yes | buy | 36.23 | $0.028 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Obama divorce before 2027?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Another GTA VI trailer released by March 31?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.052 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Justin Bieber drop out as a Coachella 2026 Headliner?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.038 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?Yes | buy | 33.23 | $0.030 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will another country boycott Eurovision 2026 by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will anyone charged over daycare fraud in MN be deported by March 31?Yes | buy | 32.89 | $0.030 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.031 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 US confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.046 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Hillary Clinton charged by March 31?Yes | buy | 74.21 | $0.013 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Anthropic CEO arrested?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.035 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Elon EditionNo | buy | 44.04 | $0.023 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Les Wexner arrested by March 31?Yes | buy | 59.35 | $0.017 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Ex-FaZe members form new organization by March 31?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell EditionNo | buy | 39.17 | $0.026 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump sue Trevor Noah by March 31?Yes | buy | 43.33 | $0.023 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Tim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 X banned in U.K. by March 31?Yes | buy | 88.87 | $0.011 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by March 31?Yes | buy | 36.08 | $0.028 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Clavicular be Iran's next Supreme Leader by March 31st?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Pipeline" or "Road" during Taoiseach events?Yes | buy | 23.53 | $0.043 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?Yes | buy | 36.16 | $0.028 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Polymarket surpasses Robinhood on Similar Web in 2026?No | buy | 25.93 | $0.039 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Bill Gates charged by June 30?Yes | buy | 19.8 | $0.051 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Apple release a new version of the Apple TV by March 31?Yes | buy | 16.39 | $0.061 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Ohio Revoke Any OSB License Over Event-Contract Activity by March 31?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Human moon landing in 2026?Yes | buy | 17.34 | $0.058 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Sam Altman in jail by June 30?Yes | buy | 90.32 | $0.011 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Anthropic CEO arrested?Yes | buy | 27.7 | $0.036 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Deel IPO by March 31?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 VEO 4 released by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 51.56 | $0.019 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?Yes | buy | 16.84 | $0.059 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.023 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 18.87 | $0.053 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 102.22 | $0.010 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.031 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by March 31?Yes | buy | 37.23 | $0.027 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.031 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?Yes | buy | 18.1 | $0.055 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |