
Yes is at 48% on Polymarket.
It is one of 3 markets under “Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by...?”.
$418.67 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $489.36, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 25 trades, $89.58 bought Yes and $61.11 bought No.
The largest Yes position is tradeo39 with 39 shares; the largest No position is xtxpleasecallme with 20.
Trading closes on 1 Dec 2026, 34 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 12:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Oct 2026 | 48.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| tradeo39 | Yes | 39 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 20 |
| Solar Signal F3B1 | No | 11.22 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Z.ai's next GLM model (5.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must be part of Z.ai's core GLM series, have a name or model identifier that includes "GLM," and be designated as a version greater than 5.3, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version greater than 5.3 named in the same manner as GLM-5.2 or GLM-5.3 would qualify, including versions that skip numbers, such as GLM-5.5 or GLM-6, while models with a version designation of 5.3 or below, or derivative models not positioned as the next flagship GLM release, such as GLM-5.3-Turbo, will not qualify. Staged rollouts of a model already publicly accessible before market creation, such as the open-weight or API release of GLM-5.3, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Z.ai as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Z.ai, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-zptai-glm-5pt4-released-byptptpt
| pootytherewardfarmer |
| No |
| 7.83 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 0.06 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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