Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 1.4%. Yes opened at 24% on 27 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 29 daily closes on record from 27 Feb 2026 to 31 Mar 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 63.5% on 21 Mar 2026 and the lowest 1.4% on 31 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 60 points down, to 4% on 22 Mar 2026. $8.56K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 2:14 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 29 points, 27 Feb 2026 – 31 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Feb 2026 | 24.0% |
| 31 Mar 2026 | 1.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| sen111 | No | 2K |
| ACara | No | 223.96 |
| Ardtysrt01 | No | 192.3 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump issues an executive order, proclamation, memorandum, emergency declaration or other formal executive action which seeks to mandate voter ID, ban mail-in voting, ban voting machines, or otherwise materially restrict voting methods or eligibility in US federal elections by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Any formal executive action which seeks to achieve one of the listed goals will count, regardless of any legal or implementation challenges it may face after issuance. Mere statements from Donald Trump will not alone qualify; a formal executive action to enact policy must be taken. Executive actions which seek to accomplish a listed goal indirectly (e.g. withholding federal funding from states that do not implement a listed policy) will count, provided a formal executive action to enact policy is taken. An executive action will be considered to seek to mandate voter ID, ban mail-in voting, ban voting machines, or otherwise materially restrict voting methods or eligibility in US federal elections if it seeks to do so either nationally or in any limited context (such as in specific states, areas, or election contexts) for use in United States federal elections. Qualifying examples of potential executive actions include: - Executive actions seeking to mandate voter ID nationally, in specific areas of the United States, or only in certain contexts. - Executive actions seeking to ban mail-in voting broadly or in a limited context, including no-excuse mail-in voting, mandatory mail-in voting, or mail-in voting in certain states or areas. - Executive actions seeking to ban all voting machines or restricting the use of certain classes of voting machines or of voting machines in specific areas. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official text of the executive action taken; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/new-trump-executive-order-to-restrict-voting-by-march-31
| No |
| 39 |
| Newshound | No | 33.61 |
| hesure | No | 20 |
| Neat-Robot | No | 18.49 |
| S888 | No | 12.5 |
| steveeev | No | 11.62 |
| rocketcrypto | No | 5 |
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