What is the “New state Bitcoin reserve before March?” market asking?
It asks whether the following will happen: New state Bitcoin reserve before March? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?
At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?
Trading is scheduled to close on Feb 28, 2025 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US state holds any amount of Bitcoin in its reserves at any point between January 20, 2025, ET and February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that a state confiscating Bitcoin does not count as holding Bitcoin reserves. Only a state government acquiring Bitcoin to hold in reserve will count toward a "Yes" resolution; a lower government such as a municipality acquiring Bitcoin will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from a relevant state government, however a…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
24h volume ($63.6K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
$8.85K
No buy at 99.9%
History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · 1440 min sampling · latest observation Mar 1, 12:00 AM UTC
Points
39
Move
-25 pts
Range
0.6% - 26.0%
Jan 22, 12:00 AM UTC to Mar 1, 12:00 AM UTC
Feb 26, 12:00 AM UTC
0.9%
0.9%
Feb 25, 12:00 AM UTC
1.2%
1.2%
Feb 24, 12:00 AM UTC
1.9%
1.9%
Feb 23, 12:00 AM UTC
2.0%
2.0%
Feb 22, 12:00 AM UTC
2.3%
2.3%
Feb 21, 12:00 AM UTC
2.7%
2.7%
Feb 20, 12:00 AM UTC
2.7%
2.7%
Feb 19, 12:00 AM UTC
3.0%
3.0%
Feb 18, 12:00 AM UTC
3.0%
3.0%
Feb 17, 12:00 AM UTC
2.6%
2.6%
Feb 16, 12:00 AM UTC
1.8%
1.8%
Feb 15, 12:00 AM UTC
3.5%
3.5%
Feb 14, 12:00 AM UTC
5.0%
5.0%
Feb 13, 12:00 AM UTC
5.5%
5.5%
Feb 12, 12:00 AM UTC
6.0%
6.0%
Feb 11, 12:00 AM UTC
4.5%
4.5%
Feb 10, 12:00 AM UTC
12.0%
12.0%
Feb 9, 12:00 AM UTC
12.0%
12.0%
Feb 8, 12:00 AM UTC
13.5%
13.5%
Feb 7, 12:00 AM UTC
11.0%
11.0%
Feb 6, 12:00 AM UTC
11.5%
11.5%
Feb 5, 12:00 AM UTC
11.0%
11.0%
Feb 4, 12:00 AM UTC
10.0%
10.0%
Feb 3, 12:00 AM UTC
12.0%
12.0%
Feb 2, 12:00 AM UTC
6.5%
6.5%
Feb 1, 12:00 AM UTC
6.5%
6.5%
Jan 31, 12:00 AM UTC
7.0%
7.0%
Jan 30, 12:00 AM UTC
7.5%
7.5%
Jan 29, 12:00 AM UTC
6.0%
6.0%
Jan 28, 12:00 AM UTC
8.5%
8.5%
Jan 27, 12:00 AM UTC
17.5%
17.5%
Jan 26, 12:00 AM UTC
18.5%
18.5%
Jan 25, 12:00 AM UTC
18.0%
18.0%
Jan 24, 12:00 AM UTC
18.0%
18.0%
Jan 23, 12:00 AM UTC
18.0%
18.0%
Jan 22, 12:00 AM UTC
26.0%
26.0%
Who holds the biggest positions in this market?
Vultax loaded 11 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 99.7% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.
Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?
Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Mar 2, 7:12 AM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.
Can I trade this market on Vultax?
No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/new-state-bitcoin-reserve-before-march) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.
