Analytics
Yes is at 3.5%, down 16 points from 19.5% when the market opened on 2 Dec 2025.
Across the 302 daily closes on record from 2 Dec 2025 to 25 Oct 2026 (26 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 19.5% on 2 Dec 2025 and the lowest 3.4% on 25 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 3.5%; a month before, 5.5%. Its largest one-day move was 7 points down, to 12.5% on 3 Dec 2025.
$2.4K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.26M since listing. The order book holds $34.93K, with a 0.3% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $5.82K bought Yes and $38.73K bought No; the largest was a $18.64K sell of No at 93.2¢.
The largest Yes position is BluntTruthGentleman with 20.9K shares; the largest No position is enrico-vasaio with 24.4K. Ten wallets hold 39.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 9:15 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 302 points, 2 Dec 2025 – 25 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Dec 2025 | 19.5% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 3.4% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| enrico-vasaio | No | 24.35K |
| BluntTruthGentleman | Yes | 20.93K |
| ktv.bond | No | 17.13K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/new-pandemic-in-2026
| estuprador | No | 15.2K |
| DEGENKHAN | No | 12.53K |
| yayyay | Yes | 12K |
| Precious-Radar-Anchovy | Yes | 11.95K |
| alchimik | Yes | 11.82K |
| SomerandomD | No | 10.22K |
| QMG-SCALAR | No | 10.19K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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