Analytics
Yes is at 2.3%, down 3.4 points from 5.6% when the market opened on 7 Jan 2026.
Across the 278 daily closes on record from 7 Jan 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (17 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 16.5% on 29 Apr 2026 and the lowest 2.2% on 12 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 3.9%; a month before, 3.6%. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 4.8% on 30 Apr 2026.
$30.45K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $7.37K, with a 0.3% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $755.08 bought Yes and $6.78K bought No.
The largest Yes position is xiaxiaoqiang2026 with 5.9K shares; the largest No position is Ajjooli with 2.7K. Ten wallets hold 70.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 10:28 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 278 points, 7 Jan 2026 – 27 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Jan 2026 | 5.6% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 2.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xiaxiaoqiang2026 | Yes | 5.91K |
| Ajjooli | No | 2.68K |
| i400 | No | 1.29K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares a new COVID pandemic other than COVID-19 (SARS-CoV-2) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/new-coronavirus-pandemic-in-2026
| ALKNEEEERRX |
| Yes |
| 1.15K |
| Solar Raven A90C | No | 1.06K |
| newmasterroshi | No | 862.06 |
| Snow-White | Yes | 740.39 |
| MaxPowell | No | 726.09 |
| BluntTruthGentleman | Yes | 591 |
| Gaujmalietis | No | 557.71 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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