Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 3.5% on 4 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 148 daily closes on record from 4 Feb 2025 to 1 Jul 2025, the highest close was 4.2% on 7 Feb 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 Jul 2025. $18.99K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 8:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 148 points, 4 Feb 2025 – 1 Jul 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Feb 2025 | 3.5% |
| 1 Jul 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| malytrez | Yes | 1.13K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 483 |
| JimmyR | Yes | 160 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Giorgia Meloni ceases to be the Prime Minister of Italy for any period of time between February 3 and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Giorgia Melon's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/meloni-out-as-prime-minister-of-italy-before-july
New to prediction markets?
| Yes |
| 25 |
| GollumGekko | No | 0.01 |
| whyuasostupid | Yes | 0.01 |
| ODINNA | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
