Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 799.98 | $0.065 | $1.2 | -$50.8 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump say "UFC" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2 | Feb 25, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 300 |
| $0.090 |
| $1.05 |
| -$25.95 |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 1.9K | $0.011 | $0.95 | -$19.95 |
| buy |
| 6.9 |
| $0.290 |
| $2 |
| Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Alien" during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.160 | $2 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "The State of the Union is strong" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 68.16 | $0.220 | $15 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 190 | $0.102 | $19.38 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.920 | $20 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett to replace Lisa Cook?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.060 | $2 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?Yes | buy | 28.99 | $0.069 | $2 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.038 | $2 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the October meeting?No | buy | 30.3 | $0.660 | $20 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Will Gold close at $3,100-3,200 at the end of 2025?Yes | sell | 90.9 | $0.040 | $3.64 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Sep 23, 2025 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.180 | $4 | Sep 23, 2025 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 1.5% and 2.0?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.160 | $4 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 82.64 | $0.121 | $10 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Trump out as President in 2025?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Downbeat" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.340 | $3.4 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Renovation" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during July Press Conference?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.140 | $2 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Immigration" during June Press Conference?No | buy | 66.67 | $0.030 | $2 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Volatile" during June Press Conference?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Summer" during June Press Conference?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?No | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit in June?Yes | buy | 14.8 | $0.338 | $5 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Iranian coup attempt before July?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Israel strike on Iran on June 17?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.060 | $2 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 20?No | buy | 11.76 | $0.170 | $2 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 19?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.120 | $2 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 18?No | buy | 21.6 | $0.093 | $2 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?No | buy | 14.41 | $0.694 | $10 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" 20 or more times during the May meeting?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | May 7, 2025 |
| Will Jerome Powell say "recession" during the May meeting?No | buy | 8.08 | $0.124 | $1 | May 7, 2025 |
| Will Jerome Powell say "Trump" during the May meeting?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2 | May 7, 2025 |
| Will Jerome Powell say "Overreact" during the May meeting?Yes | buy | 5.41 | $0.370 | $2 | May 7, 2025 |
| Will Jerome Powell say "Ukraine" during the May meeting?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | May 7, 2025 |
| Will Jerome Powell say "Russia" during the May meeting?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | May 7, 2025 |
| Will Jerome Powell say "good afternoon" during the May meeting?No | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | May 7, 2025 |
| Will Jerome Powell say "inflation" 60 or more times during the May meeting?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.650 | $10 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.030 | $2 | May 6, 2025 |
 Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin before July?Yes | buy | 35.29 | $0.170 | $6 | May 6, 2025 |
 10-year Treasury yield >4.3% Friday?No | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | May 6, 2025 |
 Will Israel annex Syrian territory before July?Yes | buy | 99.01 | $0.050 | $5 | May 5, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | May 5, 2025 |
 Israel military action on Yemen before June?No | buy | 11.76 | $0.170 | $2 | May 5, 2025 |
| Israel military action on Yemen before June?Yes | sell | 45.45 | $0.830 | $37.72 | May 5, 2025 |
 Elon no longer world's richest before July?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | May 4, 2025 |
 Will Kanye crash the Met Gala?Yes | buy | 130.59 | $0.031 | $4 | May 4, 2025 |