Analytics
Resolved Yes on 27 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 43% on 6 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 17 daily closes on record from 6 Mar 2026 to 27 Mar 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 100% on 25 Mar 2026 and the lowest 23% on 10 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 49 points up, to 72% on 11 Mar 2026.
33 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 27, 1:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 17 points, 6 Mar 2026 – 27 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Mar 2026 | 43.0% |
| 27 Mar 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Markwayne Mullin is confirmed as the United States Secretary of Homeland Security by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Markwayne Mullin is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm Markwayne Mullin as Secretary of Homeland Security for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments or assumption of the position in an acting capacity without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/markwayne-mullin-confirmed-as-dhs-secretary-by
| oak | No | 262 |
| 5atka | No | 200 |
| Lavincey | No | 140.76 |
| Plain-Acid | No | 100 |
| xSanctuary | No | 100 |
| Duf1988 | No | 76.4 |
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