What is the “Lula out before April?” market asking?
It asks whether the following will happen: Lula out before April? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?
At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
How did this market resolve?
It resolved No on 1 Apr 2025. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva announces his resignation or otherwise ceases to be President of Brazil for any length of time between December 10, 2024, and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Lula ceases to be President of Brazil for any length of time within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". This market will not resolve to "No" until its timeframe expires and Lula has remained President of Brazil for the entire duration without interruption. The primary resolution source for this…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
$9.7K
No sell at 99.9%
History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Apr 1, 12:00 AM UTC
Showing 60 of 500 loaded trade rows.Full archived tape is available through subscriber depth/API retrieval when coverage exists.
Who still holds shares in this market?
203 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.
Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?
Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Apr 2, 7:26 AM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.
Can I trade this market on Vultax?
No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/lula-out-before-february) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.
