Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 23.81 | $0.840 | $20 | May 27, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 29.45 |
| $0.965 |
| $28.42 |
| May 21, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 30.3 | $0.660 | $20 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 25.04 | $0.799 | $20 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 29.06 | $0.670 | $19.47 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.660 | $20 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.350 | $10 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 34.48 | $0.998 | $34.41 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.870 | $30 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.070 | $10 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 45.45 | $0.230 | $10.45 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?No | sell | 29.54 | $0.997 | $29.45 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | sell | 25.31 | $0.850 | $21.51 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?No | buy | 29.54 | $0.846 | $25 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 25.32 | $0.790 | $20 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETDown | buy | 142.55 | $0.070 | $9.98 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETDown | sell | 20.29 | $0.130 | $2.64 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETDown | buy | 19.97 | $0.485 | $9.69 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?Yes | sell | 21.97 | $0.070 | $1.54 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.060 | $12 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:15PM-1:30PM ETUp | buy | 38.81 | $0.400 | $15.54 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - March 22, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETDown | buy | 4.63 | $0.630 | $2.92 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:45AM-8:00AM ETUp | buy | 107.94 | $0.092 | $9.96 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:45AM-8:00AM ETUp | buy | 76.43 | $0.130 | $9.94 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:45AM-8:00AM ETUp | buy | 15.43 | $0.317 | $4.88 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETDown | buy | 17.32 | $0.860 | $14.89 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETUp | buy | 6.55 | $0.750 | $4.91 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETUp | sell | 6.61 | $0.950 | $6.28 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETUp | buy | 6.55 | $0.750 | $4.91 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETUp | sell | 1.72 | $0.350 | $0.6 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETUp | buy | 1.7 | $0.570 | $0.97 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETUp | sell | 6.06 | $0.970 | $5.88 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETUp | buy | 6.03 | $0.820 | $4.95 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETDown | sell | 2.29 | $0.300 | $0.69 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETDown | buy | 2.26 | $0.430 | $0.97 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETDown | sell | 2.05 | $0.560 | $1.15 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETDown | buy | 2.02 | $0.480 | $0.97 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETUp | sell | 4.31 | $0.440 | $1.9 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETUp | buy | 4.28 | $0.230 | $0.98 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ETUp | sell | 10.74 | $0.960 | $10.31 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ETUp | buy | 10.73 | $0.930 | $9.98 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ETUp | sell | 6.69 | $0.780 | $5.22 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ETUp | buy | 6.63 | $0.740 | $4.91 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ETUp | sell | 133.26 | $0.980 | $130.59 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ETUp | buy | 133.19 | $0.950 | $126.53 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETUp | sell | 23.64 | $0.090 | $2.13 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETDown | sell | 11.2 | $0.830 | $9.3 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETUp | buy | 23.48 | $0.210 | $4.93 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETUp | sell | 21.21 | $0.170 | $3.61 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETUp | buy | 20.99 | $0.280 | $5.88 | Mar 15, 2026 |