Analytics
Yes is at 38.5%, down 5 points from 43.5% when the market opened on 30 Jul 2026.
Across the 89 daily closes on record from 30 Jul 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 60% on 20 Oct 2026 and the lowest 6.5% on 1 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 22%; a month before, 39.5%. Its largest one-day move was 41 points up, to 48% on 6 Aug 2026.
$256.01 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $5.83K since listing. The order book holds $142.75, with a 25.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 132 trades, $341.86 bought Yes and $1.74K bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 409 shares; the largest No position is Viserys with 322. Ten wallets hold 93.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:47 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 89 points, 30 Jul 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jul 2026 | 43.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 38.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 409.23 |
| Viserys | No | 321.55 |
| QR1 | No | 312.37 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lindsay Hubbard and Matt James confirm to be or to have been in a romantic relationship between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it is confirmed that the named individuals are engaged to be or have married, this will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Confirmation must come directly from Lindsay Hubbard, Matt James, or their official representatives, and may come through public statements, social media posts, etc.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/lindsay-hubbard-and-matt-james-confirm-relationship-in-2026-20260727192227665
| pootytherewardfarmer |
| Yes |
| 116 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 81.42 |
| pppnn | No | 40 |
| Tallguy2527 | Yes | 20 |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da. | No | 20 |
| youyizhiguangg | Yes | 19.99 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 10.23 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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