Analytics
Yes is at 4.8%, down 1.2 points from 6% when the market opened on 5 Sep 2026.
Across the 51 daily closes on record from 5 Sep 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 15.7% on 28 Sep 2026 and the lowest 4.8% on 23 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 5%; a month before, 15.7%. Its largest one-day move was 8.2 points down, to 5.5% on 30 Sep 2026.
$28.62K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $2.91K, with a 1.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 261 trades, $836.92 bought Yes and $5.86K bought No; the largest was a $1.84K sell of No at 92.1¢.
The largest Yes position is ScottyNooo with 1.6K shares; the largest No position is pmtosat- with 4K. Ten wallets hold 85.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 31 Dec 2026, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 5:28 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 51 points, 5 Sep 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Sep 2026 | 6.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 4.8% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| pmtosat- | No | 3.97K |
| ScottyNooo | Yes | 1.57K |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 428.02 |
Lindsay Clancy has been charged by The Commonwealth of Massachusetts with three counts of murder for the death of her three children. You can read more about that here: https://media.wbur.org/wp/2023/09/clancy-indictment.pdf. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lindsay Clancy is convicted of at least one count of manslaughter in the ongoing Commonwealth v. Lindsay Clancy case by either December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or, in the event of a mistrial, by the end of any retrial that begins before that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A conviction for manslaughter will qualify whether it results from a manslaughter charge or from a finding of manslaughter as a lesser included offense of a murder charge. A conviction for murder, without any accompanying conviction for manslaughter, will not qualify. If this case ends due to a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, or results in a verdict of Not Guilty on all charges (including by reason of lack of criminal responsibility due to mental illness), this market will resolve to "No". A plea agreement will qualify to resolve this market "Yes" only if it results in a judgment of conviction for manslaughter. If all charges against Clancy are dropped, this market will immediately resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/lindsay-clancy-convicted-of-manslaughter
| LornaPredicts |
| Yes |
| 296.26 |
| Slowroasted | Yes | 249.99 |
| HerrieDavis | Yes | 242.52 |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | 233.1 |
| Turbulent-Decline-Router | Yes | 210.25 |
| planktonXD | Yes | 193 |
| polybettor | No | 155.22 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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