
Resolved No on 1 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 51.5% on 12 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 21 daily closes on record from 12 Oct 2025 to 1 Nov 2025, the highest close was 51.5% on 12 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 14% on 15 Oct 2025. $159.09K traded over the market's life.
85 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 1, 2:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 12 Oct 2025 – 1 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Oct 2025 | 51.5% |
| 1 Nov 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BurstedBubble | Yes | 20K |
| anta | Yes | 7.31K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 4.11K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/lecornu-out-as-french-pm-by-381
New to prediction markets?
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Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.