Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 67.5% on 5 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 190 daily closes on record from 5 Dec 2025 to 1 Jul 2026 (19 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 67.5% on 5 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 29 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 33% on 22 Dec 2025. $26.61K traded over the market's life.
64 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 1, 2:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 190 points, 5 Dec 2025 – 1 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Dec 2025 | 67.5% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| hugzzz17 | Yes | 745.05 |
| Crypto-Well | Yes | 572.19 |
| Stainville | Yes | 381.45 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/lecornu-out-as-french-pm-by-381
New to prediction markets?
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| cervlord | Yes | 254.87 |
| chocBlaine | Yes | 214.32 |
| Flat-Reamer | Yes | 171.94 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
