Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97%. Yes opened at 50% on 4 Jul 2025. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 4 Jul 2025 and the low 3% on 1 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 43 points down, to 7.5% on 5 Jul 2025. $4.15K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 1, 2:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 29 points, 4 Jul 2025 – 1 Aug 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Jul 2025 | 50.0% |
| 1 Aug 2025 | 3.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| jontra | Yes | 999.94 |
| Newshound | Yes | 351 |
| Agentsas | Yes | 62.5 |
| 777Alastor | Yes | 14.29 |
| Gbalazs16 | Yes | 12.5 |
| sajenec | Yes | 12.5 |
| caba | Yes | 8.96 |
| poy.tra | No | 0.01 |
| .AnA.luz | No | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
If the U.S. reports a negative change (less than 0) in total nonfarm payroll employment July June 2025, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for July 2025, scheduled to be released on August 1, 2025, 8:30 AM ET. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/july-jobs-report-prints-negative
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