Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Aug 12, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 166.67 |
| $0.006 |
| $1 |
| Aug 12, 2025 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% in July?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Aug 12, 2025 |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.0% or less in July?Yes | buy | 196.75 | $0.005 | $1 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Will India agree to stop buying Russian oil by August 31?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.035 | $1 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 1.37K | $0.019 | $26 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.86K | $0.007 | $20 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 3.4K | $0.016 | $55.91 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 714.29 | $0.007 | $5 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Cat 3+ hurricane hits Miami in 2025?Yes | sell | 29.04 | $0.180 | $5.23 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Cat 3+ hurricane hits Miami in 2025?Yes | buy | 29.05 | $0.210 | $6.1 | Aug 4, 2025 |
| Will a cat 5 hurricane make US landfall during Hurricane Season 2025?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Aug 4, 2025 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 1% and 0%?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.022 | $1 | Jul 25, 2025 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 2% and 1%?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.180 | $2 | Jul 25, 2025 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 0% and -1%?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Jul 25, 2025 |
 Syria strikes Israel by July 31?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Jul 22, 2025 |
 Will the July 2025 unemployment rate be ≥4.4%?Yes | sell | 40.07 | $0.055 | $2.2 | Jul 22, 2025 |
| Will the July 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?Yes | sell | 28.57 | $0.110 | $3.14 | Jul 22, 2025 |
| Will the July 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.140 | $4 | Jul 22, 2025 |
| Will the July 2025 unemployment rate be ≤3.9%?Yes | sell | 47.05 | $0.060 | $2.81 | Jul 22, 2025 |
 Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 US Open?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jul 22, 2025 |
 1,350+ Measles cases in U.S. before August?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jul 22, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the July meeting?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.042 | $1 | Jul 22, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce an increase at the July meeting?Yes | buy | 186.83 | $0.005 | $1 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the July meeting?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.041 | $1 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 July jobs report prints negative?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Will the July 2025 unemployment rate be ≤3.9%?Yes | buy | 47.06 | $0.085 | $4 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Will the July 2025 unemployment rate be ≥4.4%?Yes | buy | 40.08 | $0.075 | $3 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Kash Patel out by July 31?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.022 | $1 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Megaquake by August 31?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will any candidate win outright in 1st round of Bolivia Election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Syria strikes Israel by Friday?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump try to fire Powell by July 31?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Bondi, Bongino or Patel out by July 31?Yes | buy | 9.8 | $0.102 | $1 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Will Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 1.4K | $0.019 | $27 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Will Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 1.47K | $0.014 | $20 | Jul 13, 2025 |
| 1,350+ Measles cases in U.S. before August?Yes | sell | 71.13 | $0.510 | $36.28 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?Yes | buy | 3.09 | $0.970 | $3 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump release more Epstein files before August?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.056 | $1 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 21.28 | $0.047 | $1 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | sell | 115.38 | $0.006 | $0.69 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 FIFA Club World Cup: Dortmund vs. Monterrey (To Advance)Dortmund | buy | 4.17 | $0.720 | $3 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 1% and 0%?Yes | buy | 74.07 | $0.054 | $4 | Jun 29, 2025 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 0% and -1%?Yes | buy | 133.33 | $0.015 | $2 | Jun 29, 2025 |
| 1,350+ Measles cases in U.S. before August?Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.190 | $2 | Jun 29, 2025 |
| FIFA Club World Cup: Flamengo vs. Bayern Munich (To Advance)Flamengo | buy | 27.03 | $0.037 | $1 | Jun 29, 2025 |
| FIFA Club World Cup: Flamengo vs. Bayern Munich (To Advance)Flamengo | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Jun 29, 2025 |