Analytics
Yes is at 3.8%, down 42 points from 45.5% when the market opened on 15 Jul 2026.
Across the 100 daily closes on record from 15 Jul 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (9 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 45.5% on 15 Jul 2026 and the lowest 2.9% on 4 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 3.4%; a month before, 3.3%. Its largest one-day move was 32 points down, to 14% on 16 Jul 2026.
$433.28 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.05K since listing. The order book holds $10.71K, with a 1.8% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 38 trades, $24.39 bought Yes and $963.43 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 389 shares; the largest No position is lug with 641. Ten wallets hold 90.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:01 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 100 points, 15 Jul 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Jul 2026 | 45.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 3.8% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| lug | No | 641.4 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 388.99 |
| Malganis | No | 285.62 |
This market will resolve as Yes if either Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock formally ceases to hold the position of United States Senator by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve as "No." Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify. Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/jon-ossoff-or-raphael-warnock-out-from-the-senate-in-2026-20260714143604317
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. |
| Yes |
| 124.23 |
| Perypery | Yes | 86.66 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 59.99 |
| UTILIZADOR2 | Yes | 50 |
| VonVonagh | Yes | 50 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 45.75 |
| Lisbon | No | 40.9 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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