Analytics
Resolved Yes on 16 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 50%. Yes opened at 68.5% on 18 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 26 daily closes on record from 18 Apr 2026 to 16 May 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 99.8% on 15 May 2026 and the lowest 48% on 24 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 50 points down, to 50% on 16 May 2026. $418.88K traded over the market's life.
90 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 17, 12:07 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 26 points, 18 Apr 2026 – 16 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Apr 2026 | 68.5% |
| 16 May 2026 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| AllByMyseIf | No | 52.65K |
| AishahSofey | No | 35.67K |
| Amber Summit 53DA | No | 33.34K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Jerome Powell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/jerome-powell-out-as-fed-chair-by
| No |
| 16K |
| 0x2585e7022dc2075a108204bIxc08cea8d13b60a | No | 10.02K |
| alpaje | No | 1.15K |
| OutcomeUnclear | No | 1.01K |
| Deficient-Pamphlet | No | 1K |
| Swift Sphinx 1838 | No | 733.31 |
| Ballantines121 | No | 717.15 |
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