Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 40.5% on 11 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 84 daily closes on record from 11 Oct 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 47% on 14 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 25.5% on 12 Oct 2025. $129.29K traded over the market's life.
48 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 16, 7:46 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 84 points, 11 Oct 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2025 | 40.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| AmericanSniper001 | Yes | 9.88K |
| Dgmdgm666 | Yes | 2.78K |
| tailevent | Yes | 600 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Japanese general election is scheduled between October 10, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Japanese election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Japan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/japanese-snap-election-called-in-2025
| Yes |
| 561.64 |
| peterbet | Yes | 534.26 |
| RepublicOfChina | Yes | 429.02 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 407 |
| lissartter | Yes | 206.18 |
| taopai | Yes | 200 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 196 |
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