Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 116.28 | $0.860 | $112.62 | +$12.62 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 288.56 |
| $0.173 |
| $23.08 |
| -$26.92 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 93.75 | $0.160 | $6.09 | -$8.91 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 69.06 | $0.362 | $4.52 | -$20.48 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | Yes | 52.63 | $0.190 | $3.95 | -$6.05 |
| sell |
| 111.11 |
| $0.070 |
| $7.78 |
| Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.170 | $2 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 277.78 | $0.018 | $5 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 45.87 | $0.109 | $5 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 31.06 | $0.161 | $5 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 226.89 | $0.022 | $5 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 13?Up | buy | 25 | $0.600 | $15 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 400 | $0.025 | $10 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by May 15?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 69.06 | $0.362 | $25 | May 13, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:20PM-10:25PM ETUp | buy | 13.95 | $0.190 | $2.65 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 53.57 | $0.280 | $15 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.340 | $20 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ETUp | buy | 857.44 | $0.010 | $8.57 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ETUp | buy | 29.97 | $0.300 | $8.99 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ETUp | buy | 9.64 | $0.480 | $4.63 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.320 | $20 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETDown | buy | 16.21 | $0.599 | $9.71 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | buy | 288.56 | $0.173 | $50 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?Up | buy | 107.14 | $0.140 | $15 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 23?Down | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETDown | buy | 18.28 | $0.530 | $9.69 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 5?Down | buy | 10.63 | $0.471 | $5 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will the Liberal Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?No | sell | 150 | $0.044 | $6.6 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?No | buy | 150 | $0.100 | $15 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 952.48 | $0.020 | $19.15 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 116.28 | $0.860 | $100 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 56 | $0.250 | $14 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 221.06 | $0.045 | $10 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 731.43 | $0.068 | $50 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 15?Down | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Japanese Snap Election Called by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.050 | $10 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?No | sell | 23.8 | $0.900 | $21.42 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | buy | 5.08K | $0.003 | $13.8 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?Yes | sell | 21.73 | $0.620 | $13.47 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 93.75 | $0.160 | $15 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?No | buy | 23.81 | $0.840 | $20 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.690 | $15 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?Yes | buy | 22.86 | $0.219 | $5 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Japanese Snap Election Called by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 334.26 | $0.075 | $25 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?Yes | buy | 126.16 | $0.044 | $5.5 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?Yes | buy | 109.91 | $0.910 | $100 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?Yes | sell | 32.31 | $0.460 | $14.86 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?Yes | sell | 38.81 | $0.350 | $13.58 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 39.22 | $0.510 | $20 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: NovemberYes | buy | 56.18 | $0.890 | $50 | Nov 25, 2025 |