Analytics
Trading ended on 27 Oct 2026 with Yes at 42.5%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
Across the 184 daily closes on record from 30 Apr 2026 to 5 Nov 2026 (7 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 54% on 30 Oct 2026 and the lowest 18.5% on 9 Jun 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 53.5%; a month before, 33%. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 30% on 1 May 2026.
$136.15K has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is defillama7 with 7.4K shares; the largest No position is ydxistheking with 23.8K. Ten wallets hold 73.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Polymarket record as of Nov 5, 3:28 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 184 points, 30 Apr 2026 – 5 Nov 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Apr 2026 | 49.0% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 42.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ydxistheking | No | 23.79K |
| cigarettes | No | 9.85K |
| defillama7 | Yes | 7.41K |
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel in 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if, following the next election for the Israeli Knesset, a new Knesset election is called prior to any government being formed. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Government formation refers to a political coalition or government being approved by an investiture vote of the Knesset. An election will be considered called if the Knesset is dissolved, or if a new Knesset election is otherwise officially announced by the Israeli government. If a government is formed following the election before a new Knesset election is called, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The failure of a government formation attempt will not alone qualify if no new Knesset election has been called. If neither occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israeli-election-results-in-a-hung-parliament
| denizz |
| Yes |
| 4.93K |
| HolyMoses7VerifiedVerified Polymarket profile | No | 3.66K |
| Vespuccii | Yes | 3K |
| cookiesharmuta | Yes | 2.45K |
| mountaindewd | Yes | 2.3K |
| flawfence | Yes | 2K |
| Affectionate-Monger | Yes | 1.5K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
