Resolved Yes on 20 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 94.5%. Yes opened at 63% on 23 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 27 daily closes on record from 23 Sep 2026 to 20 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 94.5% on 20 Oct 2026 and the lowest 57% on 13 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 28 points up, to 84.5% on 14 Oct 2026. $14.39K traded over the market's life.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 21, 4:27 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 27 points, 23 Sep 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Sep 2026 | 63.0% |
| 20 Oct 2026 | 94.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| dolev10 | No | 582 |
| browne | No | 284.99 |
| Mediocre-Regulation | No | 181.98 |
| Osvdvoland | No | 68.64 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israel-x-lebanon-diplomatic-meeting-by-20260918
| autisem | No | 63.46 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| PPMT | No | 29.98 |
| Vladiho | No | 22.22 |
| 7red | No | 21 |
| lissartter | No | 20 |
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