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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 32.79 | $0.610 | $30.66 | +$10.66 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 17.24 |
| $0.290 |
| $16.12 |
| +$11.12 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 45.45 | $0.440 | $12.5 | -$7.5 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 35.71 | $0.280 | $1.61 | -$8.39 |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | Yes | 14.29 | $0.350 | $1.5 | -$3.5 |
| buy |
| 14.29 |
| $0.350 |
| $5 |
| Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 14.7 | $0.740 | $10.88 | May 14, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.440 | $5 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 34.09 | $0.440 | $15 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 32.79 | $0.610 | $20 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?No | sell | 20 | $0.640 | $12.8 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.110 | $0.11 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | buy | 8.2 | $0.610 | $5 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 28.57 | $0.077 | $2.2 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?No | sell | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.600 | $10 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | buy | 79.26 | $0.631 | $50 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.640 | $20 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?No | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?No | sell | 117.64 | $0.160 | $18.82 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?No | buy | 117.65 | $0.170 | $20 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?No | sell | 20 | $0.040 | $0.8 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 185.18 | $0.023 | $4.26 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | sell | 208.34 | $0.335 | $69.83 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?No | sell | 385.71 | $0.158 | $60.86 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | buy | 16.66 | $0.560 | $9.33 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?No | buy | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 185.19 | $0.027 | $5 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | sell | 83.33 | $0.220 | $18.33 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | buy | 191.68 | $0.660 | $126.51 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?No | buy | 285.71 | $0.350 | $100 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 137.45 | $0.036 | $5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | sell | 24.87 | $0.429 | $10.68 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.180 | $15 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?No | buy | 66.67 | $0.300 | $20 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | sell | 10.71 | $0.530 | $5.68 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by May 31?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.280 | $4.66 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 10.71 | $0.280 | $3 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?No | sell | 24 | $0.590 | $14.16 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by May 31?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 14.93 | $0.670 | $10 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 23.25 | $0.301 | $7 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 81.7 | $0.880 | $71.9 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 24.88 | $0.402 | $10 | Mar 25, 2026 |