Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 1 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 1 Aug 2026 to 8 Aug 2026, the highest close was 49.5% on 1 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 8 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 36 points down, to 14% on 2 Aug 2026. $72.19K traded over the market's life.
43 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 9, 4:01 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 1 Aug 2026 – 8 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Aug 2026 | 49.5% |
| 8 Aug 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| HerrieDavis | Yes | 1.79K |
| jgdbvr | Yes | 1.38K |
| Huye168 | Yes | 888 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On July 30, 2026, the Board of Peace announced "A Roadmap for Completing the Implementation of President Trump's Comprehensive Peace Plan in Gaza" (the "Board of Peace roadmap"), setting out a phased process for disarmament in and Israeli withdrawal from the Gaza Strip. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces that it has accepted or does accept this roadmap by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Israel's acceptance of a plan described by a consensus of credible reporting as a revised or successor agreement to the initial roadmap (e.g., the implementation mechanism described in the roadmap) will qualify. A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of Israel's acceptance of or commitment to this roadmap or a qualifying successor agreement. A qualifying announcement must clearly and unambiguously identify the Board of Peace roadmap or a successor agreement. Statements that merely allude to, reference, or describe the roadmap or a successor agreement, without clearly communicating acceptance of it, do not qualify. The announcement need not use specific terminology or reference the roadmap by name, provided the substantive policy of accepting the roadmap is clearly and unambiguously communicated. A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify. The following do not qualify: Anonymous, unattributed, or leaked statements not confirmed as official; Statements by persons not authorized to speak for the government of Israel; Third-party speculation, analysis, or predictions that the government of Israel will announce or implement acceptance of the roadmap; Satirical, fabricated, hacked, or impersonated communications; Announcements or acceptances of the roadmap attributed only to Hamas, the Board of Peace, the United States, mediating states, or any party other than Israel; and Statements that describe a prospective, contingent, probable, or conditional acceptance rather than announcing a present and decided position. Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later reversed, or whether the roadmap is actually implemented in practice. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israel-agrees-to-board-of-peace-gaza-plan-by-august-7-20260731224133050
| Yes |
| 841.15 |
| Saltyballs | Yes | 402.64 |
| moleskine | Yes | 279.98 |
| XVision | Yes | 200 |
| Rapid Quasar 51BA | Yes | 138.37 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| autisem | Yes | 97 |
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