Analytics
Yes is at 0.1%, down 43 points from 43.5% when the market opened on 1 Oct 2026.
Across the 24 daily closes on record from 1 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 43.5% on 1 Oct 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 30 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 1.5%. Its largest one-day move was 35 points down, to 8.5% on 2 Oct 2026.
17+ ranks fifth of the 5 outcomes in “How many SpaceX launches in October 2026?”. <14 leads at 97.8%; 16 is at 9.4%.
$645.53 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $906.46, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 21 trades, $0 bought Yes and $621.39 bought No.
The largest Yes position is 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7. with 150 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 639. Ten wallets hold 94.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 2 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:29 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 24 points, 1 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Oct 2026 | 43.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 638.5 |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7. | Yes | 150 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 148.07 |
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches. In the case of missing or erroneous data from spacex.com, this market will remain open until November 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, to allow for updates. If spacex.com has not updated by November 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-spacex-launches-in-october-2026-20260928t160000000z
| TheSinCZ | Yes | 111.44 |
| rrgtrtrgr | Yes | 69.35 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 57 |
| Golden Meteor CFE1 | Yes | 50 |
| VonVonagh | Yes | 43.65 |
| k1ngslayer | No | 32 |
| cigarettes | No | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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