Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 1.8% on 22 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 41 daily closes on record from 22 Aug 2026 to 1 Oct 2026, the highest close was 1.8% on 22 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 21 Sep 2026. $33.66K traded over the market's life.
22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 1, 6:03 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 41 points, 22 Aug 2026 – 1 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Aug 2026 | 1.8% |
| 1 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Emerald Scout EF69 | Yes | 20K |
| psikora | Yes | 6.7K |
| ZZXX-521 | Yes | 793.77 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/gta-vi-released-before-november-2026
New to prediction markets?
| jackx002 | Yes | 501 |
| KimCudiHODL | Yes | 500 |
| akko123 | Yes | 500 |
| 0xver | Yes | 200 |
| Attached-Prairie | Yes | 100 |
| fang1957 | Yes | 79.98 |
| SmartBoyBilly | Yes | 40.2 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
