Analytics
Yes is at 4.4%, down 12 points from 16% when the market opened on 15 Aug 2026.
Across the 72 daily closes on record from 15 Aug 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 16% on 15 Aug 2026 and the lowest 1.1% on 25 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 4%; a month before, 3%. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 2.2% on 16 Aug 2026.
$2.57K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $12.16K, with a 4.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 41 trades, $19.76 bought Yes and $1.13K bought No.
The largest Yes position is AMAM13 with 262 shares; the largest No position is SnapElectionAvoider with 815.
Trading closes on 4 Nov 2026, 7 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 3:30 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 72 points, 15 Aug 2026 – 29 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Aug 2026 | 16.0% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 4.4% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SnapElectionAvoider | No | 814.84 |
| AMAM13 | Yes | 261.59 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 188.8 |
The first round of the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-06 House election.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/first-round-outright-winner-in-the-la-06-house-election
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 184.87 |
| eqzwe103qwie | Yes | 184 |
| Slowbathroom | No | 134 |
| oneoftheppl | No | 100.35 |
| Perypery | Yes | 95.38 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 51.54 |
| Slackjaw | Yes | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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