Analytics
Yes is at 3.9%, down 24 points from 28% when the market opened on 17 Oct 2026.
Across the 7 daily closes on record from 17 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026, the highest close was 28% on 17 Oct 2026 and the lowest 2.3% on 23 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8 points up, to 28% on 21 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Ethereum above ___ on October 23?”.
$17.42K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $33.88K, with a 2.8% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 69 trades, $719.05 bought Yes and $3.07K bought No.
The largest Yes position is JMLL with 10.1K shares; the largest No position is Impressive-Steak with 8.7K. Ten wallets hold 93% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 23 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 2:46 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 17 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | 28.0% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 3.9% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| JMLL | Yes | 10.08K |
| Impressive-Steak | No | 8.67K |
| Quiet Falcon 3CA7 | Yes | 2.62K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereum-above-on-october-23-2026
| coinfilippe |
| No |
| 2.37K |
| DXMfE1CTkJ8fRps6yiEuTbeMyWzJ8 | No | 1.1K |
| bc1qpfuf2ynwcynnf9aczxvqgumxsznsunrk0r9tn3 | Yes | 1.07K |
| 196874353278 | No | 633.07 |
| Rapid Maven 7394 | No | 500 |
| gobblewobble | No | 434.46 |
| woshisb | No | 399.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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