
Resolved No on 23 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.1%. Yes opened at 1.5% on 17 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 17 Oct 2026 to 21 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 1.5% on 17 Oct 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 19 Oct 2026. $730.11 traded over the market's life.
50 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 23, 4:12 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 17 Oct 2026 – 21 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | 1.5% |
| 21 Oct 2026 | 0.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| sanduspace | Yes | 436.11 |
| jackli003 | Yes | 230 |
| 196874353278 | Yes | 39 |
| Honest-Hedgehog | No | 18 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereum-above-on-october-23-2026
| Unlined-Coalition | No | 18 |
| Valuable-Marten | No | 18 |
| Acceptable-Oats | No | 17 |
| Impartial-Antique-Roundabout | No | 16 |
| Same-Perfection | No | 15 |
| Austere-Color | No | 15 |
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