Analytics
Yes is at 97.4%, up 15 points from 82.5% when the market opened on 17 Oct 2026.
Across the 7 daily closes on record from 17 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026, the highest close was 97.3% on 23 Oct 2026 and the lowest 79% on 18 Oct 2026. The current quote, 97.4%, is above every close in that window; the latest close was 97.3% on 23 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 94.5% on 21 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Ethereum above ___ on October 23?”.
$20.12K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $33.87K since listing. The order book holds $35.95K, with a 0.7% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 161 trades, $2.86K bought Yes and $2.33K bought No; the largest was a $1.38K buy of Yes at 92.9¢.
The largest Yes position is Impressive-Steak with 15.8K shares; the largest No position is Quiet Falcon 3CA7 with 20.2K. Ten wallets hold 94.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 23 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 2:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 17 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 75%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | 82.5% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 97.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Quiet Falcon 3CA7 | No | 20.24K |
| Impressive-Steak | Yes | 15.79K |
| Rapid Maven 7394 | Yes | 3.45K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereum-above-on-october-23-2026
| Pellepele | Yes | 1.57K |
| latzs | No | 1.28K |
| DXMfE1CTkJ8fRps6yiEuTbeMyWzJ8 | Yes | 932.75 |
| doc.holliday | No | 562.4 |
| gobblewobble | Yes | 480.99 |
| vedaresearch.eth | No | 472.85 |
| 0xDB5 | Yes | 431.24 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
