Analytics
Yes is at 3%, down 6.5 points from 9.5% when the market opened on 28 Oct 2026.
Across the 3 daily closes on record from 28 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026, the highest close was 9.5% on 28 Oct 2026 and the lowest 8% on 30 Oct 2026. The current quote, 3%, is below every close in that window; the latest close was 8% on 30 Oct 2026.
240-259 ranks 13th of the 30 outcomes in “Elon Musk # tweets October 30 - November 6, 2026?”. 320-339 leads at 12%; 340-359 is at 11%.
$2K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $4.01K since listing. The order book holds $5.65K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 90 trades, $63.91 bought Yes and $2.21K bought No.
The largest Yes position is TweetPulse.Live with 2.3K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 14.1K. Ten wallets hold 85.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 6 Nov 2026, 7 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 5:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 28 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Oct 2026 | 9.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 8.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 14.06K |
| TweetPulse.Live | Yes | 2.27K |
| sebyastiens | Yes | 1.5K |
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 30 12:00 PM ET to November 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-30-november-6-2026
17 more outcomes, none above 2.5%.
| hirichzhou | Yes | 1.08K |
| Poiuztrewq | Yes | 1.05K |
| ComradeCat | Yes | 1K |
| amy888 | Yes | 1K |
| CaprioDiLeo | Yes | 988.34 |
| Bitgod | Yes | 967 |
| Threepeeo | Yes | 870 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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