Analytics
Yes is at 11%, up 2 points from 9% when the market opened on 28 Oct 2026.
Across the 3 daily closes on record from 28 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 11% on 30 Oct 2026 and the lowest 9% on 28 Oct 2026.
340-359 ranks second of the 30 outcomes in “Elon Musk # tweets October 30 - November 6, 2026?”. 320-339 leads at 11.5%; 300-319 is at 10.5%.
$4.96K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $8.5K since listing. The order book holds $4.25K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 142 trades, $443.47 bought Yes and $2.31K bought No.
The largest Yes position is TweetPulse.Live with 2.4K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 15.1K. Ten wallets hold 81.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 6 Nov 2026, 7 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 6:31 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 28 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 5%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Oct 2026 | 9.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 11.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 15.06K |
| TweetPulse.Live | Yes | 2.4K |
| sebyastiens | Yes | 1.5K |
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 30 12:00 PM ET to November 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-30-november-6-2026
18 more outcomes, none above 2.8%.
| hirichzhou | Yes | 1.08K |
| ComradeCat | Yes | 1K |
| amy888 | Yes | 1K |
| Bitgod | Yes | 898.15 |
| AndreaPirlo | Yes | 784.43 |
| Mei-ji | Yes | 756.11 |
| Indigo Beacon D532 | Yes | 718.12 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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