Analytics
Yes is at 1.4%, about where the market opened on 28 Oct 2026.
Across the 4 daily closes on record from 28 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026, the highest close was 1.3% on 30 Oct 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 29 Oct 2026. The current quote, 1.4%, is above every close in that window; the latest close was 1.3% on 30 Oct 2026.
165-189 ranks fifth of the 9 outcomes in “Elon Musk # tweets October 29 - October 31, 2026?”. 90-114 leads at 51%; 115-139 is at 22.5%.
$16.07K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $23.53K since listing. The order book holds $3.4K, with a 0.4% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 190 trades, $63.15 bought Yes and $10.37K bought No.
The largest Yes position is vcxzvdr5e4 with 10.2K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 23.4K. Ten wallets hold 84.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 31 Oct 2026, 2 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:01 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 28 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Oct 2026 | 0.8% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 1.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 23.4K |
| vcxzvdr5e4 | Yes | 10.23K |
| Sugarina | Yes | 3K |
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 29 12:00 PM ET to October 31, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-29-october-31-2026
| ihrekunst |
| Yes |
| 2.91K |
| Kaiji123 | Yes | 2.9K |
| RickRockRick | Yes | 2.9K |
| ZYbRUIpL | Yes | 2.42K |
| CakeBake | No | 1.88K |
| mcsg | Yes | 1.62K |
| clggzz | No | 1.14K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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