Analytics
Yes is at 23%, down 18 points from 41% when the market opened on 5 Apr 2026.
Across the 189 daily closes on record from 5 Apr 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (19 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 63.5% on 24 Jul 2026 and the lowest 16.5% on 16 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 32%; a month before, 21.5%. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 44% on 7 Oct 2026.
It is one of 20 markets under “Which characters will appear in Avengers: Doomsday?”.
$30 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $6.74K since listing. The order book holds $1.23K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 287 trades, $412.07 bought Yes and $1.36K bought No.
The largest Yes position is rocky42017 with 263 shares; the largest No position is DuneMentat with 418. Ten wallets hold 77.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jul 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 3:30 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 189 points, 5 Apr 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Apr 2026 | 41.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 23.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| DuneMentat | No | 418.04 |
| asdasdasdasdasdasdasd | No | 284.65 |
| rocky42017 | Yes | 263 |
Avengers: Doomsday is a Marvel film scheduled to release on December 18, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor playing the listed character appears in Avengers: Doomsday. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve upon announcement of casting, regardless of if the film is delayed, cancelled, or otherwise fails to be released. If no casting is announced, this market will resolve upon footage of the domestic theatrical cut of the film. If multiple people are cast for the same role, the listed individual being among the cast list for the relevant character will be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. If no casting is announced and Avengers: Doomsday is definitively cancelled or fails to be released by June 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on official announcements from Marvel or Warner Bros., the domestic theatrical cut of Avengers: Doomsday, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-characters-will-appear-in-avengers-doomsday
7 more markets, none above 53.0%.
| BigodinSagaz |
| No |
| 100 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 90.11 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 86.59 |
| peepeepooppoop | Yes | 80 |
| DREAMBIG. | No | 77.18 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 63.15 |
| test.saveliyb.test | Yes | 53.14 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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