Analytics
Yes is at 2.3%, down 7.2 points from 9.5% when the market opened on 23 Sep 2026.
Across the 27 daily closes on record from 23 Sep 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 15% on 25 Sep 2026 and the lowest 2.3% on 24 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 2.4%; a month before, 9.5%. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points up, to 15% on 25 Sep 2026.
It is one of 2 markets under “Clavicular in jail by...?”.
$8.54K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $420.37, with a 2.6% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 111 trades, $279.86 bought Yes and $2.23K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Dr.PNL with 236 shares; the largest No position is i400 with 756. Ten wallets hold 82.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 8 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 11:06 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 27 points, 23 Sep 2026 – 24 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Sep 2026 | 9.5% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 2.3% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Braden Eric Peters (known as Clavicular) serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/clavicular-in-jail-by-september-30
| Sweltering-Passion-Fragrance |
| Yes |
| 150 |
| youtube-trader | Yes | 126 |
| Anjun | Yes | 120.02 |
| AJSV | Yes | 108.87 |
| Fihdrzgdd | Yes | 100 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 98 |
| MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus | No | 54.35 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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